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  • Writer's pictureJeff Trela @jtrela20

Week 3 Best Bets from JT

Raiders (+6) @ Patriots 47

Everyone is falling in love with the Raiders, as they showed up big on Monday night vs. Drew Brees and the Saints. The Patriots have an extra day of rest and a pissed off Bill Belicheck, while the Raiders played Monday night and have to fly across the country for a 1 PM EST contest. The Patriots will once again be without James White as he deals with personal tragedy, and Julian Edelman is questionable with a knee but fully expected to play. Meanwhile the Raiders are banged up up and down the offensive line and will be without speedy rookie WR Henry Ruggs. I suspect the Patriots pass rush will be too much for the anemic offensive line, and Derek Carr will be under duress the entire afternoon. Bellicheck will then key on the Raiders top target, TE Darren Waller. Last season we saw Josh Jacobs average six less touches per game in negative game script, with this year being too early to really see if that trends yet. And, oh yeah, Cam Newton looks perfectly healthy and surprisingly accurate, and may just play himself into the MVP conversation again. This game also plays beautifully into a tease, getting off the key numbers of 6 and 3. PLAY: Patriots -6

49ers (-3.5) @ Giants 42

This is the puke in your mouth play of the week. Highly recommend not watching this game. Both teams suffered dabilitating injuries last week and are a shell of themselves heading into this contest. The 49ers top offensive weapon is probably Jordan Reed at this point??? They are without their QB, all world TE, top 2 RB and best WR. They also complained to no end about the field conditions at MetLife, and get the joy of playing there again this week. They will be more than 10 days without sleeping in their own beds, as they stayed on the east coast and bunked in West Virginia in between games in New Jersey(?????) May seem like I'm burying the lead here, as the Giants will be without their best player in Saquon Barkley, who to no fault of his own was ineffective before landing on IR. I believe the absence of Nick Bosa and Solomon Thomas will be larger than the ineffective play of the Giants truly offensive line. Daniel Jones will have more time than he has this year. The Giants could win this game outright, but never tease through a zero. PLAY: Giants +3.5

Drew Sample Receiving prop: 31.5 yards

Joe Burrow has shown a love for the middle of the field, and seems to lean on his security blanket TE quite often. Last week, he targeted the position a whopping 15 times, with Sample receiving 9 of them after teammate CJ Uzomah went down with a torn Achilles. The Eagles just gave up a monster game to TE Tyler Higbee who went 5-54 with THREE TDs. The TDs don't help us here, and betting player overs is always a slippery slope, but game script says the Bengals should be playing from behind and this is just such a low number. PLAY: Over 31.5

Football Team (+7) @ Browns 45

The Browns have possible the most formidable ground game in the league, we are seeing props over 120 rushing yards for Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt combined. Odell Beckham said he does not expect to put up big numbers this year, which hints to be motivated by the gameplan for this week. Both Cleveland and their opponent are middle of the pack in pace of play so far this year, and it looks to be a slightly windy day in Cleveland, which could hamper the kicking game, and thus points. This game seems to be playing under, make sure it doesn't steam below 44 on you. PLAY: Under 45

RECORD: 4-2, +1.8 units

No DFS article or podcast this week due to some time constraints on the Stack Attack Squad, sorry. Amac and I will be firing away in DFS for both GPP and cash this week, so keep an eye out for us on Twitter leading up to this week's games @Jtrela20 @Amac22nj @Nmimi we'll let you know who we're looking at and who is in Trader Andy's MACHO QUATRO which cashed for us two weeks in a row. See you at the ticket window!!

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